Author Archives: Georgi Georgiev

The A/B Testing Guide to Surviving on a Deserted Island

AB Testing Survival Guide Desert Island

The secluded and isolated deserted island setting has been used as the stage for many hypothetical explanations in economics and philosophy with the scarcity of things that can be developed as resources being a central feature. Scarcity and the need to keep risk low while aiming to improve one’s situation is what make it a […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Inherent costs of A/B testing: limited risk results in limited gains

Costs

I’ve already done a detailed breakdown of costs & benefits in A/B testing as well as the risks and rewards and how A/B testing is essentially a risk management solution. In this short installment I’d like to focus on the trade-off between limiting the downside and restricting the upside which is present in all risk management […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization | Tagged , , , ,

Representative samples and generalizability of A/B testing results

Representative samples and generalizability of AB testing results

I see a nice trend in recent discussions on A/B testing: more and more people realize the need for proper statistical design and analysis which is a topic I hold dear as I’ve written dozens of articles and a few white-papers on. However, there are cases in which statistical validity is discussed without consideration for […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization | Tagged , , , , , ,

Designing successful A/B tests in Email Marketing

The process of A/B testing (a.k.a. online controlled experiments) is well-established in conversion rate optimization for all kinds of online properties and is widely used by e-commerce websites. On this blog I have already written in depth about the statistics involved as well as the ROI calculations in terms of balancing risk and reward for […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization, Statistical significance, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

Analysis of 115 A/B Tests: Average Lift is 4%, Most Lack Statistical Power

Observed Percent Change Significant

Oct 2022 update: A newer, much larger and likely less biased meta analysis of 1,001 tests is now available! What can you learn from 115 publicly available A/B tests? Usually, not much, since in most cases you would be looking at case studies with very basic data about what was tested and the outcome of […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Confidence Intervals & P-values for Percent Change / Relative Difference

In many controlled experiments, including online controlled experiments (a.k.a. A/B tests) the result of interest and hence the inference made is about the relative difference between the control and treatment group. In A/B testing as part of conversion rate optimization and in marketing experiments in general we use the term “percent lift” (“percentage lift”) while in […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization, Statistical significance, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Affordable A/B Tests: Google Optimize & AGILE A/B Testing

The problem most-often faced by owners of websites who want to take a scientific approach to improving them by using A/B testing is that they might have relatively small revenue. Thus, when the ROI calculation for the A/B test is done it might turn out that it is economically unfeasible to test. In some cases, […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, AGILE A/B testing, Analytics-Toolkit.com, Conversion optimization | Tagged , , , , , ,

The Google Optimize Statistical Engine and Approach

Frequentist vs Bayesian A/B testing - Google Optimize

Updated Sep 17, 2018: Minor spelling and language corrections, updates related to role of randomization and external validity / generalizability. Google Optimize is the latest attempt from Google to deliver an A/B testing product. Previously we had “Google Website Optimizer”, then we had “Content Experiments” within Google Analytics, and now we have the latest iteration: […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Bayesian A/B testing, Conversion optimization, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

20-80% Faster A/B Tests? Is it real?

Percent Runs and Stopping Stage 1Delta

I got a question today about our AGILE A/B testing calculator and the statistics behind it and realized that I’m yet to write a dedicated post explaining the efficiency gains from using the method in more detail. This despite the fact that these speed gains are clearly communicated and verified through simulation results presented in our AGILE […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, AGILE A/B testing, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

Risk vs. Reward in A/B Tests: A/B testing as Risk Management

Risks vs Rewards in AB Testing

What is the goal of A/B testing? How long should I run a test for? Is it better to run many quick tests, or one long one? How do I know when is a good time to stop testing? How do I choose the significance threshold for a test? Is there something special about 95%? […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization, Statistical significance, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , ,

Costs and Benefits of A/B Testing: A Comprehensive Guide

Costs and Benefits in AB Testing

This is a comprehensive guide to the different types of costs and benefits, risks and rewards related to A/B testing. Understanding them in detail should be valuable to A/B testers and businesses considering whether to engage in A/B testing or not, what to A/B test and what not to test, etc. As far as I […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization | Tagged , , , , , , ,

Statistical Significance for Non-Binomial Metrics – Revenue per User, AOV, etc.

Non-Binomial Significance - Revenue, Per User Metrics

In this article I cover the method required to calculate statistical significance for non-binomial metrics such as average revenue per user, average order value, average sessions per user, average session duration, average pages per session, and others. The focus is on A/B testing in the context of conversion rate optimization, landing page optimization and e-mail […] Read more…

Posted in A/B testing, Conversion optimization, Statistical significance, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , ,