Category Archives: Conversion Optimization

Analysis of 115 A/B Tests: Average Lift is 4%, Most Lack Statistical Power

Observed Percent Change Significant

What can you learn from 115 publicly available A/B tests? Usually, not much, since in most cases you would be looking at case studies with very basic data about what was tested and the outcome of the A/B test. Confidence intervals, p-values and other measurements of uncertainty will often be missing, and when present they […] Read More…

Also posted in A/B Testing | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Responses

Confidence Intervals & P-values for Percent Change / Relative Difference

In many controlled experiments, including online controlled experiments (a.k.a. A/B tests) the result of interest and hence the inference made is about the relative difference between the control and treatment group. In A/B testing as part of conversion rate optimization and in marketing experiments in general we use the termĀ “percent lift” (“percentage lift”) while in […] Read More…

Also posted in A/B Testing, Statistical Significance, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Affordable A/B Tests: Google Optimize & AGILE A/B Testing

The problem most-often faced by owners of websites who want to take a scientific approach to improving them by using A/B testing is that they might have relatively small revenue. Thus, when the ROI calculation for the A/B test is done it might turn out that it is economically unfeasible to test. In some cases, […] Read More…

Also posted in A/B Testing, AGILE A/B Testing, | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Google Optimize Statistical Engine and Approach

Frequentist vs Bayesian A/B testing - Google Optimize

Google Optimize is the latest attempt from Google to deliver an A/B testing product. Previously we had “Google Website Optimizer”, then we had “Content Experiments” within Google Analytics, and now we have the latest iteration: Google Optimize. While working on the integration of our A/B Testing Calculator with Google Optimize I was curious to see […] Read More…

Also posted in A/B Testing, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Risk vs. Reward in A/B Tests: A/B testing as Risk Management

Risks vs Rewards in AB Testing

What is the goal of A/B testing? How long should I run a test for? Is it better to run many quick tests, or one long one? How do I know when is a good time to stop testing? How do I choose the significance threshold for a test? Is there something special about 95%? […] Read More…

Also posted in A/B Testing, Statistical Significance, Statistics | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Costs and Benefits of A/B Testing: A Comprehensive Guide

Costs and Benefits in AB Testing

This is a comprehensive guide to the different types of costs and benefits, risks and rewards related to A/B testing. Understanding them in detail should be valuable to A/B testers and businesses considering whether to engage in A/B testing or not, what to A/B test and what not to test, etc. As far as I […] Read More…

Also posted in A/B Testing | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment